OK, the long awaited pre, pre, preseason Top 10 is finally here. Not that you care, but I’ve obviously been very busy lately with my various other tasks and haven’t had time to peer into my crystal ball…whatever that means.
Anyway, you can look at it this way: It’s like my family had triplets and I’ve neglected my first born. And I’m sorry. So here — assuming all things remain the same — is my 2007-08 Top 10.
1. MOUNT VERNON (16-8 in ‘06-’07): I never would’ve thought this until mid-March, but the Knights may be ready to win a gold ball in ‘08. They have three-fifths of their starting five returning in leading scorers Nadia Duncan, Kwinnyata Mercer and Lynasia Frazier, and freshman-to-be Carece Moore, who is more than ready to slide into a starting role. I also hear Mount Vernon may add a 6-2/6-3 middle schooler, which, along with eighth-grader Sade King, would provide options off the bench.
So what will make or break ‘em… the schedule. The Knights must be tested all season because they can’t rest on their laurels. They must continue to improve. If they do, there’s no limit to how good they can be.
2. NORTH ROCKLAND (18-4): As you all know, I was very high on the Red Raiders talent all season. They were too big and too skilled to not compete for a gold ball, yet they never really did, falling short on the County Center doorstep after advancing to two straight final fours. But despite an ultimately disappointing finish to the season, I cannot forget about the North Rockland that I saw last December. And with Alaina Walker, Mary Abrams and Shanekwa Kellman all back, this team will enter next season with a great chance to compete for the gold ball. Of course, Walker and Abrams must account for the loss of leading scorer Brianna Peterson.
So what will make or break ‘em… staying sharp. The Red Raiders obviously never recaptured the level that led them to wins over Lourdes and Scarsdale early in the season. And with only moderate competition in their league, it’s easy to see why. Somehow, someway, North Rockland will need to ramp up its competition in January and February, even if that means a couple scrimmages or some challenge games.
3. URSULINE (15-8): The Koalas proved their maturation late in the season before they encountered the Mount Vernon buzzsaw at the County Center. They could very easily be the best team on this list (I think the top three are rather interchangable), but they will miss Molly McGlynn. What made Ursuline so good at times last season was its ability to rotate in the post based on the foul situation or how well each girl had played. Without McGlynn they won’t have that three-player rotation, but you have to figure Lauren Thomas and Shelby Sferra can assume more duties as juniors. There’s also a lot to like with starters Rosie Crean and Tricia Liller returning, as well as sophomore guards Taylor Palmer and Shannon Ray.
So what will make or break ‘em… incoming freshmen. Unlike a Mount Vernon or a North Rockland, Ursuline may add an impact freshman or two that we’ve never heard of. For instance, both Palmer and Ray played critical minutes last season. Players like that can help a good team turn great.
4. OSSINING (14-8): This team wasn’t quite on the same level as the top three last season, but it had crept ever-so-much closer as the months went along. Ossining will return four of those five starters, including the highly-productive duo of Brittany Garrett and Kelsey Vallach. Another one-time starter, Kiki Shelton, will also return after missing the last three months with a torn ACL. This is a team that may be very deep and very experienced.
So what will make or break ‘em… a healthy Shelton. Ossining will need her athleticism to fill out its lineup because this is a team with very well-defined roles. Garrett scores and rebounds. Vallach handles the ball and makes plays. Alex Venuto shoots the 3. Shelton needs to be the glue, much like Rainey Brownlee was on Ossining teams past.
5. OUR LADY OF LOURDES (14-8): Don’t ask me who the Warriors will turn to. I know Kim Dweck could be one of the best players in the section, but beyond her they will miss UNH-bound Jacinda Williams, Jasmine Schinella, and Rebecca Bucci. Still, you know Lourdes will have a good, deep team by the time the season starts. Don’t expect the longtime Section 1 power to fade now that it lost a title.
So what will make or break ‘em… the maturation of Dweck. The trio of Williams, Schinella and Bucci had a lot of experience, and not just because they played a lot the last two years. They played in a lot of pressure-filled situations where they needed to produce. This will be Dweck’s team now so she’ll be asked to lead the Warriors every single night.
6. BEACON (17-5): The Bulldogs were the “other” team all season behind Lakeland and Pearl River, but they may be “the” team in Class A beginning right now. With Ally Biordi and Kara Tancredi leading the way, Beacon will have all but two players back and should have a chance to win it all now that the Lakeland and Pearl River seniors have graduated.
So what will make or break ‘em… history. Lakeland and Pearl River are such strong programs that you can exepct one of them — if not BOTH — to make great strides next year. But can they catch up to Beacon?
7. BRIARCLIFF (19-3): The Bears had a ton of talent last season and they will return most of it, including four-fifths of their starting five: Maggie Blair, Shelby Coon, Taylor Pescetti and Jaime Heyda. The only two teams to beat them — Albertus Magnus and Putnam Valley — should both be down, clearing the way for the championship run.
So what will make or break ‘em… their play at the point. The Bears will definitely miss Angela Pescetti’s experience and toughness. They will need to find ball-handlers, and those duties will probably fall to Angela’s sister Taylor and the 5-foot-10 Blair.
8. WHITE PLAINS (23-3): The Tigers were obviously miss Kim Adams and Liz Flooks, who have been among the best players in Section 1 for three seasons, all of which ended in championships. But with Angelei Aguirre, Paige Sprewell and Bree Bradley, who showed glimpses inside and outside as a freshman, White Plains will probably fare much better than people expect.
So what will make or break ‘em… the Aguirres. This one is simple: If the Aguirres stick in town, the Tigers will be competitive every single night because she’ll be one of the best players in the section.
9. HORACE GREELEY (12-10): If you look at my preseason Top 10 from ‘06-07, this was really the only team that burned me. But we all saw the glimpses, capped, of course, by the near-upset of Lourdes in the opening round of the playoffs. The Quakers will really miss Sarah Mirabile, who was tough and handled and shot the ball well, but they return a core group of seven seniors who all played a lot as juniors (and many as sophomores). That experience and familiarity should be a significant factor.
So what will make or break ‘em… confidence. It was clearly a problem last season when the Quakers never met their own expectations. Unlike other teams, Greeley consists of a lot of athletes who play basketball. They must believe they can win on the basketball court for it to translate to the win column.
10. IRVINGTON (15-8): Everyone knows by now that the Bulldogs initial trip to the County Center was not a fun one. But even so, the experience should prove vital to the Gillian Morleys, Riley Harringtons and Tara Gablemans of Section 1. In fact, those three underclassmen are just part of a very young core that will return almost intact. Kaitlin Degnan and Michelle Nedwick were the only two upperclassmen on either of the last two Irvington teams.
So what will make or break ‘em… this summer. We’ll know very early next season how much Irvington has improved. Why? Because with so many girls who are basketball players first, the Bulldogs should get much better during the coming months. I’d guess they’ll be among the most improved teams in the area come November.
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So I just constructed this Top 10 without the likes of…Lakeland, the Class A state champ; Pearl River and Albertus Magnus, two teams that always reach the County Center; and Scarsdale, which loses Jackie Alemany but is one of my pre, pre, preseason dark horse picks with Christine Yankou, Kerry Ryan, Chelsea LoBue, Rebecca Robison and Danielle Feigin all back. (The other is the alma mater, which returns leading scorers Meghan Murphy and Ashley Ruiz, as well as the precocious Brittany Horne.) There’s also the absence of Haldane and preseason POY candidate Brittany Shields.
So do you disagree with my Top 10? What’s your Top 10? Let me know, and I promise I’ll write back much quicker this time.
Enjoy…